La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Fery v Toby Samuel
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fery (Local)
Predicción 80.61%1.24momio equitativo
EV +38.65%
Ventaja +22.47%
Kelly +53.68%
Crecimiento +20.75%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%78.81%80.81%83.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.241.161.7291.74%80.92%86.21%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toby Samuel (Visitante)
Predicción 19.39%5.16momio equitativo
EV +6.65%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.48%
Crecimiento +0.098%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.92%21.19%19.19%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.004.485.005.5050.00%22.31%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +38.65%E +22.47%K +53.68%G +20.75% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -58.89%E -27.78%K -52.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 12:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -61.22%E -30.61%K -61.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 10:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +35.42%E +21.09%K +52.10%G +18.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 12:06 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +34.62%E +20.73%K +51.67%G +17.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 12:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +33.01%E +20.00%K +50.78%G +16.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 12:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV +13.66%E +9.69%K +33.32%G +4.55% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -39.70%E -12.76%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.59%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 12:18 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +4.90%E +0.906%K +1.11%G +0.054% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Casumo | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Fliff | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.78%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.02%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.91%E -7.89%K -68.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.77%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.65%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.098% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -12.14%E -11.13%K -134.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 12:20 |
| Novig | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.29% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 20.71% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 12:21 |