مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Fery v Toby Samuel

البداية: 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Fery (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.61%1.24السعر العادل
EV +38.65%
الأفضلية +22.47%
Kelly +53.68%
النمو +20.75%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.05%78.81%80.81%83.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.091.241.161.7291.74%80.92%86.21%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toby Samuel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.39%5.16السعر العادل
EV +6.65%
الأفضلية +1.21%
Kelly +1.48%
النمو +0.098%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.92%21.19%19.19%45.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.004.485.005.5050.00%22.31%20.00%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +38.65%E +22.47%K +53.68%G +20.75%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -58.89%E -27.78%K -52.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:06
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 10:50
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -56.95%E -25.66%K -46.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 10:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV +37.04%E +21.79%K +52.91%G +19.60%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -61.22%E -30.61%K -61.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 10:50
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +35.42%E +21.09%K +52.10%G +18.45%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:06
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +34.62%E +20.73%K +51.67%G +17.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +33.01%E +20.00%K +50.78%G +16.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -57.34%E -26.06%K -47.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 12:08
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV +13.66%E +9.69%K +33.32%G +4.55%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -39.70%E -12.76%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 12:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.27%E -2.72%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 12:19
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:20
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.88%E -4.14%K -27.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 12:20
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 12:20
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.90%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 12:20
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -5.69%E -4.86%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -17.59%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 12:18
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.34%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.66%EV +4.90%E +0.906%K +1.11%G +0.054%4.7%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -6.49%E -5.60%K -40.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -11.78%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.80%E +0.342%K +0.423%G +0.008%6.0%2026-06-16 12:20
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002%6.2%2026-06-16 12:19
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 12:20
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -4.02%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.30%E -6.35%K -48.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +4.71%E +0.871%K +1.07%G +0.050%6.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.93%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-16 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.10%E -7.11%K -57.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -22.44%E -5.61%K -7.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-16 12:19
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -8.91%E -7.89%K -68.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.77%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018%7.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.65%E +1.21%K +1.48%G +0.098%7.5%2026-06-16 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -9.72%E -8.68%K -80.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 12:20
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV +0.828%E +0.159%K +0.197%G +0.002%9.3%2026-06-16 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -10.52%E -9.48%K -95.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -1.11%E -0.218%K -0.271%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 12:20
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -12.14%E -11.13%K -134.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -3.05%E -0.610%K -0.762%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-16 12:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%2.9%2026-06-16 12:20
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%3.2%2026-06-16 12:20
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 79.29%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.71%8.7%2026-06-16 12:21