Language:English
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Prediction 38.20%2.62fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.739%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.17%38.12%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.452.6542.55%40.56%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 61.80%1.62fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.85%61.83%61.88%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.5968.03%65.04%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 38.20%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 61.80%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.22%E +0.460%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +0.073%E +0.028%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 13:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 13:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.04%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.24%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |