L’École des cotes

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Francisco Cerundolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prévision 38.20%2.62cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.460%
Kelly +0.739%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%38.17%38.12%40.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.472.452.6542.55%40.56%40.82%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.80%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.85%61.83%61.88%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.541.5968.03%65.04%64.94%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.22%E +0.460%K +0.739%G +0.009%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +0.073%E +0.028%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 13:18
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 13:20
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:18
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:19
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:20
ReBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:19
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.04%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 13:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 13:19
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:19
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.24%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%3.6%2026-06-16 13:20