La scuola delle quote

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Francisco Cerundolo

Inizio: 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Casa)

Previsione 38.20%2.62quota equa
EV +1.22%
Vantaggio +0.460%
Kelly +0.739%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.14%38.17%38.12%40.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.472.452.6542.55%40.56%40.82%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.80%1.62quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.85%61.83%61.88%63.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.541.541.5968.03%65.04%64.94%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.22%E +0.460%K +0.739%G +0.009%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +0.073%E +0.028%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 13:18
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 13:20
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:18
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:19
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:20
ReBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:19
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
DraftKings2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.04%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 13:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 13:19
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:19
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.24%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%3.6%2026-06-16 13:20