Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Francisco Cerundolo

Início: 2026-06-16 13:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Previsão 38.20%2.62odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.739%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.14%38.17%38.12%40.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.472.452.6542.55%40.56%40.82%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 61.80%1.62odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.85%61.83%61.88%63.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.541.541.5968.03%65.04%64.94%62.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 38.20%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 61.80%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.62. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.22%E +0.460%K +0.739%G +0.009%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +0.073%E +0.028%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 13:18
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:18
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 13:20
ReBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
DraftKings🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.04%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:20
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 13:20
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 13:20
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 13:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 13:19
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:19
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.24%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-06-16 13:20
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-06-16 13:20
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%3.6%2026-06-16 13:20