La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Predicción 38.20%2.62momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.739%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%38.17%38.12%40.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.452.6542.55%40.56%40.82%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 61.80%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.85%61.83%61.88%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.541.5968.03%65.04%64.94%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.22%E +0.460%K +0.739%G +0.009% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +0.073%E +0.028%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 13:18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.36%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 13:18 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| ReBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.04%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 13:19 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.24%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.0% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |
| Novig | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 13:20 |