Language:English
Marin Cilic v Daniel Altmaier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.64%56.83%56.79%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7362.89%60.05%59.70%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visit)
Prediction 43.27%2.31fair odd
EV -0.474%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.365%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%43.17%43.21%44.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marin Cilic (Local): 56.73%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 43.27%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.474%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:33 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.80%E -6.17%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 12:50 |