La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Marin Cilic v Daniel Altmaier
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Marin Cilic (Casa)
Previsione 56.73%1.76quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.64%56.83%56.79%59.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.671.671.7362.89%60.05%59.70%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.27%2.31quota equa
EV -0.474%
Vantaggio -0.206%
Kelly -0.365%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.87%43.17%43.21%44.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 15:10 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:33 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:39 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 12:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:33 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.80%E -6.17%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 18:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 12:50 |