Langue:Français
Marin Cilic v Daniel Altmaier
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prévision 56.73%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.64%56.83%56.79%59.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.671.671.7362.89%60.05%59.70%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.27%2.31cote équitable
EV -0.474%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.365%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.87%43.17%43.21%44.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marin Cilic (Local) : 56.73% ; Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur) : 43.27%. Pour Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.31. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.30, pour une espérance de -0.474% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:33 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 23:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.80%E -6.17%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 18:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 12:50 |