Szkoła Kursów

Marin Cilic v Daniel Altmaier

Początek: 2026-04-14 13:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Marin Cilic (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.73%1.76kurs godziwy
EV -1.86%
Przewaga -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.64%56.83%56.79%59.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.591.671.671.7362.89%60.05%59.70%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Daniel Altmaier (Goście)

Prognoza 43.27%2.31kurs godziwy
EV -0.474%
Przewaga -0.206%
Kelly -0.365%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.87%43.17%43.21%44.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:54
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 12:40
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 12:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 15:10
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 12:33
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 12:35
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:35
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 12:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 12:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:15
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:39
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:44
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 12:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 12:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:55
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 12:30
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 12:35
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 12:34
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:33
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:30
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:30
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:30
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 12:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 05:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 23:10
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 23:09
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:29
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:30
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:30
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 12:30
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 13:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 12:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 12:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 12:30
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.80%E -6.17%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 18:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-14 12:25
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-04-14 12:55
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%3.6%2026-04-14 12:50