StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marin Cilic v Daniel Altmaier

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 13:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Marin Cilic (Heim)

Prognose 56.73%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.86%
Vorteil -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.64%56.83%56.79%59.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.591.671.671.7362.89%60.05%59.70%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.27%2.31faire Quote
EV -0.474%
Vorteil -0.206%
Kelly -0.365%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.87%43.17%43.21%44.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marin Cilic (Heim): 56.73%; Daniel Altmaier (Auswärts): 43.27%. Für Daniel Altmaier (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.31. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.30, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.474%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:54
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.50%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.00%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.56%E -2.10%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 12:30
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 15:10
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 12:33
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 12:35
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.13%E -2.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 12:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:15
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:39
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:44
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.70%E -2.80%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 08:55
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:33
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:30
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.23%E -2.39%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 05:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 23:09
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:29
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:30
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 23:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.53%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.26%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 13:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 12:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.80%E -6.17%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -0.474%E -0.206%K -0.365%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 18:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-14 12:55
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-14 12:25
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-04-14 12:55
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%3.6%2026-04-14 12:50