A Escola das Odds

Fabian Marozsan v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-04-14 14:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Local)

Previsão 41.75%2.40odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.807%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.66%41.75%41.80%43.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.95%43.86%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 58.25%1.72odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.59%58.25%58.20%59.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.72%61.73%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.32%E -0.989%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 14:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:15
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:39
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:18
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 03:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:18
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Betsson2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 03:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 08:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 15:44
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 13:59
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.12%E -5.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 13:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 14:45
NordicBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:18
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.58%E -3.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.1%2026-04-14 14:45