Die Wettquotenschule

Fabian Marozsan v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 14:55 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Heim)

Prognose 41.75%2.40faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -0.807%
Kelly -1.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.66%41.75%41.80%43.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.95%43.86%42.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.25%1.72faire Quote
EV -2.13%
Vorteil -1.27%
Kelly -3.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.59%58.25%58.20%59.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.72%61.73%59.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.32%E -0.989%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 14:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:15
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:39
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:18
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 03:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:18
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Betsson2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 03:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 08:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 15:44
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 13:59
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.12%E -5.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 13:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 14:45
NordicBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:18
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.58%E -3.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.1%2026-04-14 14:45