La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fabian Marozsan v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fabian Marozsan (Casa)
Previsione 41.75%2.40quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.807%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.66%41.75%41.80%43.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.95%43.86%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.25%1.72quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.59%58.25%58.20%59.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.72%61.73%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.32%E -0.989%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:39 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 14:18 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 14:14 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| ReBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 14:18 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Betsson | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 03:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 08:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 15:44 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.12%E -5.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:25 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:18 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.58%E -3.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Novig | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |