Szkoła Kursów

Fabian Marozsan v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Początek: 2026-04-14 14:55 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.75%2.40kurs godziwy
EV -1.90%
Przewaga -0.807%
Kelly -1.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.66%41.75%41.80%43.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.95%43.86%42.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Goście)

Prognoza 58.25%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -2.13%
Przewaga -1.27%
Kelly -3.14%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.59%58.25%58.20%59.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.72%61.73%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.32%E -0.989%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 14:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:15
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:39
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:18
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 03:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:18
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Betsson2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 03:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 08:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 15:44
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 13:59
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.12%E -5.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 13:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 14:45
NordicBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:18
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.58%E -3.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.1%2026-04-14 14:45