La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 41.75%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%41.75%41.80%43.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.95%43.86%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)
Predicción 58.25%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.59%58.25%58.20%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.72%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.32%E -0.989%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 13:39 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 14:18 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 14:14 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 20:10 |
| ReBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 05:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 14:18 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Betsson | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 03:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 08:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 15:44 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.12%E -5.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 13:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:25 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:18 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.58%E -3.92%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |
| Novig | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 14:45 |