مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fabian Marozsan v Stefanos Tsitsipas

البداية: 2026-04-14 14:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.75%2.40السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -0.807%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.66%41.75%41.80%43.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.192.282.282.3545.66%43.95%43.86%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.25%1.72السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -3.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.59%58.25%58.20%59.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.72%61.73%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.807%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:10
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.32%E -0.989%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 14:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:04
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:10
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:15
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:20
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 13:39
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:49
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 14:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:18
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 03:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 20:10
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.40%E -1.92%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:20
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 05:30
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:18
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.46%E -2.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
Betsson2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:20
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.65%E -2.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 03:05
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 14:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:20
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 08:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 15:44
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 15:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 14:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 13:59
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.12%E -5.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 13:10
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 14:45
NordicBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.74%E -3.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:25
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:04
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:18
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -8.58%E -3.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-04-14 14:50
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-04-14 14:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-04-14 14:45
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.1%2026-04-14 14:45