Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 77.39%1.29fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +4.46%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.19%77.35%77.32%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.221.221.3187.72%82.14%81.97%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV +13.05%
Edge +2.61%
Kelly +3.26%
Growth +0.425%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%22.65%22.68%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.164.155.0029.41%24.03%24.10%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 77.39%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 22.61%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.05%E +2.61%K +3.26%G +0.425% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%EV +8.75%E +1.82%K +2.30%G +0.201% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.52%E +1.78%K +2.24%G +0.191% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV +7.17%E +1.51%K +1.92%G +0.137% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.00%E +0.870%K +1.11%G +0.044% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +0.610%E +0.137%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.520%E -0.118%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -6.62%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -10.23%E -8.82%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -0.940%E -0.734%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -12.05%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 08:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.46%G +0.062% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -23.13%E -6.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |