A Escola das Odds

Zizou Bergs v Adrian Mannarino

Início: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 77.39%1.29odd justa
EV +1.38%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +4.46%
Crescimento +0.062%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.19%77.35%77.32%81.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.221.221.3187.72%82.14%81.97%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)

Previsão 22.61%4.42odd justa
EV +13.05%
Vantagem +2.61%
Kelly +3.26%
Crescimento +0.425%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.57%22.65%22.68%27.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.164.155.0029.41%24.03%24.10%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.05%E +2.61%K +3.26%G +0.425%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%EV +8.75%E +1.82%K +2.30%G +0.201%2.1%2026-04-06 11:00
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.52%E +1.78%K +2.24%G +0.191%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV +7.17%E +1.51%K +1.92%G +0.137%4.4%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.00%E +0.870%K +1.11%G +0.044%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%4.2%2026-04-06 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +0.610%E +0.137%K +0.177%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-06 09:15
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.520%E -0.118%K -0.153%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -6.62%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:54
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 08:35
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 10:30
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 08:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:34
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:00
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -10.23%E -8.82%K -63.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -0.940%E -0.734%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -12.05%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 10:58
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:30
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:30
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 10:58
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.46%G +0.062%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -23.13%E -6.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 10:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34%2.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%4.1%2026-04-06 11:00