La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zizou Bergs v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 77.39%1.29momio equitativo
EV +1.38%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +4.46%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.19%77.35%77.32%81.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.221.221.3187.72%82.14%81.97%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 22.61%4.42momio equitativo
EV +13.05%
Ventaja +2.61%
Kelly +3.26%
Crecimiento +0.425%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.57%22.65%22.68%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.164.155.0029.41%24.03%24.10%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.05%E +2.61%K +3.26%G +0.425% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%EV +8.75%E +1.82%K +2.30%G +0.201% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.52%E +1.78%K +2.24%G +0.191% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV +7.17%E +1.51%K +1.92%G +0.137% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.00%E +0.870%K +1.11%G +0.044% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +0.610%E +0.137%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 09:15 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.520%E -0.118%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| betPARX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:55 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -6.62%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 09:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 08:20 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -10.23%E -8.82%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -0.940%E -0.734%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -12.05%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 08:30 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 08:30 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.46%G +0.062% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -23.13%E -6.80%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 10:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |