مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zizou Bergs v Adrian Mannarino

البداية: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zizou Bergs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 77.39%1.29السعر العادل
EV +1.38%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +4.46%
النمو +0.062%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.19%77.35%77.32%81.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.221.221.3187.72%82.14%81.97%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.61%4.42السعر العادل
EV +13.05%
الأفضلية +2.61%
Kelly +3.26%
النمو +0.425%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.57%22.65%22.68%27.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.164.155.0029.41%24.03%24.10%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.05%E +2.61%K +3.26%G +0.425%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%EV +8.75%E +1.82%K +2.30%G +0.201%2.1%2026-04-06 11:00
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.52%E +1.78%K +2.24%G +0.191%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV +7.17%E +1.51%K +1.92%G +0.137%4.4%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.00%E +0.870%K +1.11%G +0.044%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%4.2%2026-04-06 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +0.610%E +0.137%K +0.177%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-06 09:15
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.520%E -0.118%K -0.153%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -6.62%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:54
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 08:35
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 10:30
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 08:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:34
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:00
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -10.23%E -8.82%K -63.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -0.940%E -0.734%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -12.05%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 10:58
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:30
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:30
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 10:58
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.46%G +0.062%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -23.13%E -6.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 10:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34%2.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%4.1%2026-04-06 11:00