L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Adrian Mannarino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 77.39%1.29cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +4.46%
Croissance +0.062%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.19%77.35%77.32%81.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.221.221.3187.72%82.14%81.97%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.61%4.42cote équitable
EV +13.05%
Avantage +2.61%
Kelly +3.26%
Croissance +0.425%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.57%22.65%22.68%27.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.164.155.0029.41%24.03%24.10%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.77%E -10.33%K -84.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.05%E +2.61%K +3.26%G +0.425%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%EV +8.75%E +1.82%K +2.30%G +0.201%2.1%2026-04-06 11:00
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.52%E +1.78%K +2.24%G +0.191%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV +7.17%E +1.51%K +1.92%G +0.137%4.4%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.00%E +0.870%K +1.11%G +0.044%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%4.2%2026-04-06 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.74%E +0.387%K +0.497%G +0.009%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +0.610%E +0.137%K +0.177%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-06 09:15
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.520%E -0.118%K -0.153%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -9.45%E -8.08%K -55.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -1.65%E -0.379%K -0.493%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.78%E -0.647%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:00
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:00
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -6.62%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.25%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 09:54
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 08:35
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.13%E -5.94%K -35.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.68%E -7.35%K -48.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 10:30
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -8.66%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 08:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:34
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:00
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.58%E -4.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 11:00
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.36%E -5.25%K -30.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 11:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -10.23%E -8.82%K -63.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:00
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -0.940%E -0.734%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -12.05%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 10:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 10:58
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.22%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:30
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 08:30
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.49%E -1.97%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -18.61%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 10:58
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.38%E +1.06%K +4.46%G +0.062%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -23.13%E -6.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 10:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-06 11:00
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-06 11:00
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34%2.5%2026-04-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%4.1%2026-04-06 11:00