The School of Odds

Matteo Berrettini v Joao Fonseca

Matchstart: 2026-04-09 09:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Matteo Berrettini (Hemma)

Prognos 42.02%2.38rättvist odds
EV -1.24%
Fördel -0.529%
Kelly -0.921%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.20%42.15%42.02%45.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.03%45.45%42.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 57.98%1.72rättvist odds
EV +0.298%
Fördel +0.172%
Kelly +0.409%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.47%57.85%57.98%59.80%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.571.641.651.7363.69%60.88%60.79%57.80%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.29%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV +0.298%E +0.172%K +0.409%G +0.001%6.1%2026-04-09 09:04
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.19%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-09 08:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:05
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 09:08
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 09:08
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 08:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 09:04
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:55
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 08:34
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 08:34
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 08:34
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 09:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 09:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 09:04
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.76%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 09:08
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -9.23%E -4.27%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 09:10
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.08%E -0.894%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 09:04
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 08:05
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 09:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 06:14
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 09:10
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 09:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 08:19
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 08:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 08:14
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 09:04
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 09:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 09:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 09:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 09:07
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 09:08
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 09:09
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 09:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 08:19
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 09:10
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 09:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 09:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-09 09:10
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-09 09:10
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-09 09:10
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-04-09 09:10
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-04-09 09:10