La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Berrettini v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 42.02%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.529%
Kelly -0.921%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%42.15%42.02%45.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.03%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 57.98%1.72momio equitativo
EV +0.298%
Ventaja +0.172%
Kelly +0.409%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.47%57.85%57.98%59.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.651.7363.69%60.88%60.79%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.29%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV +0.298%E +0.172%K +0.409%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.19%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 08:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.76%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -9.23%E -4.27%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.08%E -0.894%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 08:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 06:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:19 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:07 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 08:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |