Lingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Joao Fonseca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 42.02%2.38quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.529%
Kelly -0.921%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.20%42.15%42.02%45.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.03%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Trasferta)
Previsione 57.98%1.72quota equa
EV +0.298%
Vantaggio +0.172%
Kelly +0.409%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.47%57.85%57.98%59.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.641.651.7363.69%60.88%60.79%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Matteo Berrettini (Casa): 42.02%; Joao Fonseca (Trasferta): 57.98%. Per Joao Fonseca (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.72. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.73, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.298%.
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.29%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV +0.298%E +0.172%K +0.409%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.19%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 08:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.76%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -9.23%E -4.27%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.08%E -0.894%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 06:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 08:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |