L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Matteo Berrettini v Joao Fonseca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prévision 42.02%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.529%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.20%42.15%42.02%45.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.222.202.3548.31%45.03%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.98%1.72cote équitable
EV +0.298%
Avantage +0.172%
Kelly +0.409%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.47%57.85%57.98%59.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7363.69%60.88%60.79%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -13.01%E -6.29%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV +0.298%E +0.172%K +0.409%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -4.19%E -1.84%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 08:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.44%E -0.848%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.87%E -2.62%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.13%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -2.02%E -1.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:55 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.18%E -1.90%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.29%E -2.82%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.76%E -2.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 09:00 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.34%E -2.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -4.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -4.92%E -3.00%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.76%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -9.23%E -4.27%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -5.50%E -3.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.08%E -0.894%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 08:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 06:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:19 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.65%E -4.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.08%E -3.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 08:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 09:04 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.66%E -4.14%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.34%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 09:07 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:08 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.24%E -4.52%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 08:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -1.24%E -0.529%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.40%E -5.32%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 09:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.98%E -5.72%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 09:10 |