The School of Odds

Joao Fonseca v Gabriel Diallo

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Hemma)

Prognos 89.89%1.11rättvist odds
EV +7.87%
Fördel +6.56%
Kelly +39.34%
Tillväxt +3.09%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.30%89.31%89.84%92.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.011.061.051.2099.01%94.73%95.24%83.33%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Gabriel Diallo (Borta)

Prognos 10.11%9.89rättvist odds
EV +33.46%
Fördel +2.54%
Kelly +2.74%
Tillväxt +0.918%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.37%10.69%10.16%21.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.339.349.5013.2023.09%10.71%10.53%7.58%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV +7.87%E +6.56%K +39.34%G +3.09%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -56.22%E -12.98%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:49
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV +3.37%E +2.93%K +22.48%G +0.758%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -44.39%E -8.07%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 14:45
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 90.31%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000%10.16I 9.84%NM 9.69%EV +2.73%E +0.268%K +0.298%G +0.008%1.6%2026-04-06 14:50
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -34.28%E -5.27%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:49
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 14:50
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 14:49
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-06 14:49
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 14:50
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.47%E -0.700%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 14:50
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 14:50
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 14:50
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.22%E -4.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:48
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +33.46%E +2.54%K +2.74%G +0.918%2.8%2026-04-06 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126%4.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126%4.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%5.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Grosvenor1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:50
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 14:47
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414%4.5%2026-04-06 14:50
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414%4.5%2026-04-06 14:50
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.2%2026-04-06 14:50
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%6.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:50
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 14:50
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%7.1%2026-04-06 14:50
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001%7.1%2026-04-06 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:50
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV +1.61%E +0.161%K +0.178%G +0.003%9.0%2026-04-06 14:50
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 14:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-04-06 14:50
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-04-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-04-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-04-06 14:50
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.2%2026-04-06 14:50
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17%4.6%2026-04-06 14:50