مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Joao Fonseca v Gabriel Diallo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Joao Fonseca (المضيف)
التنبؤ 89.89%1.11السعر العادل
EV +7.87%
الأفضلية +6.56%
Kelly +39.34%
النمو +3.09%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.30%89.31%89.84%92.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.061.051.2099.01%94.73%95.24%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Gabriel Diallo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 10.11%9.89السعر العادل
EV +33.46%
الأفضلية +2.54%
Kelly +2.74%
النمو +0.918%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.37%10.69%10.16%21.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.339.349.5013.2023.09%10.71%10.53%7.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV +7.87%E +6.56%K +39.34%G +3.09% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -56.22%E -12.98%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV +3.37%E +2.93%K +22.48%G +0.758% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -44.39%E -8.07%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.31%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 10.16I 9.84%NM 9.69%EV +2.73%E +0.268%K +0.298%G +0.008% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -34.28%E -5.27%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.47%E -0.700%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.22%E -4.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +33.46%E +2.54%K +2.74%G +0.918% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Caesars | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV +1.61%E +0.161%K +0.178%G +0.003% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |