Langue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Gabriel Diallo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 89.89%1.11cote équitable
EV +7.87%
Avantage +6.56%
Kelly +39.34%
Croissance +3.09%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.30%89.31%89.84%92.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.061.051.2099.01%94.73%95.24%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.11%9.89cote équitable
EV +33.46%
Avantage +2.54%
Kelly +2.74%
Croissance +0.918%
avec la cote maximale 13.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.37%10.69%10.16%21.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.339.349.5013.2023.09%10.71%10.53%7.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Joao Fonseca (Local) : 89.89% ; Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur) : 10.11%. Pour Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.89. 20 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.20, soit une espérance positive de +33.46%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV +7.87%E +6.56%K +39.34%G +3.09% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -56.22%E -12.98%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV +3.37%E +2.93%K +22.48%G +0.758% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -44.39%E -8.07%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.31%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 10.16I 9.84%NM 9.69%EV +2.73%E +0.268%K +0.298%G +0.008% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -34.28%E -5.27%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.47%E -0.700%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.22%E -4.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +33.46%E +2.54%K +2.74%G +0.918% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV +1.61%E +0.161%K +0.178%G +0.003% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |