La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Joao Fonseca v Gabriel Diallo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Joao Fonseca (Casa)
Previsione 89.89%1.11quota equa
EV +7.87%
Vantaggio +6.56%
Kelly +39.34%
Crescita +3.09%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
78.30%89.31%89.84%92.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.061.051.2099.01%94.73%95.24%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Gabriel Diallo (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.11%9.89quota equa
EV +33.46%
Vantaggio +2.54%
Kelly +2.74%
Crescita +0.918%
ipotizzando la quota massima 13.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.37%10.69%10.16%21.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.339.349.5013.2023.09%10.71%10.53%7.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV +7.87%E +6.56%K +39.34%G +3.09% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -56.22%E -12.98%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV +3.37%E +2.93%K +22.48%G +0.758% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -44.39%E -8.07%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.31%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 10.16I 9.84%NM 9.69%EV +2.73%E +0.268%K +0.298%G +0.008% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -34.28%E -5.27%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.47%E -0.700%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.22%E -4.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +33.46%E +2.54%K +2.74%G +0.918% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Caesars | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV +1.61%E +0.161%K +0.178%G +0.003% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |