Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Gabriel Diallo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 89.89%1.11kurs godziwy
EV +7.87%
Przewaga +6.56%
Kelly +39.34%
Wzrost +3.09%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.30%89.31%89.84%92.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.011.061.051.2099.01%94.73%95.24%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Gabriel Diallo (Goście)
Prognoza 10.11%9.89kurs godziwy
EV +33.46%
Przewaga +2.54%
Kelly +2.74%
Wzrost +0.918%
przy maksymalnym kursie 13.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.37%10.69%10.16%21.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.339.349.5013.2023.09%10.71%10.53%7.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV +7.87%E +6.56%K +39.34%G +3.09% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -56.22%E -12.98%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV +3.37%E +2.93%K +22.48%G +0.758% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -44.39%E -8.07%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.31%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 10.16I 9.84%NM 9.69%EV +2.73%E +0.268%K +0.298%G +0.008% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -2.02%E -1.85%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -34.28%E -5.27%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.82%E -3.57%K -54.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.47%E -0.700%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -11.53%E -1.32%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.72%E -4.45%K -78.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.22%E -4.17%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 14:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.63%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.37%EV +33.46%E +2.54%K +2.74%G +0.918% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.22%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.126% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Caesars | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.00%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.62%E -5.35%K -112.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 14:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.33%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.414% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -3.95%E -0.415%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.52%E -6.26%K -162.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +1.11%E +0.111%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.41%E -7.20%K -247.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -14.06%E -1.65%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Fliff | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.87%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.13%EV +1.61%E +0.161%K +0.178%G +0.003% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.79%EV -9.21%E -9.12%K -921.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -19.11%E -2.39%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.83% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.17% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 14:50 |