The School of Odds

Joao Fonseca v Arthur Rinderknech

Matchstart: 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Hemma)

Prognos 73.17%1.37rättvist odds
EV -2.68%
Fördel -2.02%
Kelly -8.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.27%73.42%73.07%76.78%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.201.271.261.3383.33%78.91%79.37%75.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Arthur Rinderknech (Borta)

Prognos 26.83%3.73rättvist odds
EV +10.01%
Fördel +2.44%
Kelly +3.23%
Tillväxt +0.323%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.22%26.58%26.93%28.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.303.693.734.1030.30%27.11%26.85%24.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +10.01%E +2.44%K +3.23%G +0.323%5.0%2026-04-08 10:45
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%3.1%2026-04-08 10:45
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%3.7%2026-04-08 10:55
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%5.6%2026-04-08 10:42
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%7.0%2026-04-08 10:44
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +5.98%E +1.51%K +2.03%G +0.121%4.7%2026-04-08 10:34
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +3.30%E +0.857%K +1.16%G +0.038%6.0%2026-04-08 10:45
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027%4.2%2026-04-08 10:42
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027%4.2%2026-04-08 10:43
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%5.7%2026-04-08 10:34
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-08 10:51
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%6.0%2026-04-08 10:42
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-08 10:50
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%8.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-08 10:50
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-08 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 10:42
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 10:42
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 10:55
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -1.53%E -0.417%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:45
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -2.61%E -0.718%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-08 10:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 10:55
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 10:55
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.20%E -10.16%K -60.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:42
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 10:55
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 10:54
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 10:55
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 10:50
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-04-08 10:55
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-08 10:55
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-04-08 10:55
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-04-08 10:50