La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Arthur Rinderknech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 73.17%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -8.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.27%73.42%73.07%76.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.261.3383.33%78.91%79.37%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)
Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV +10.01%
Ventaja +2.44%
Kelly +3.23%
Crecimiento +0.323%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.22%26.58%26.93%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.693.734.1030.30%27.11%26.85%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +10.01%E +2.44%K +3.23%G +0.323% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:44 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +5.98%E +1.51%K +2.03%G +0.121% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 10:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +3.30%E +0.857%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:43 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:34 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -1.53%E -0.417%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -2.61%E -0.718%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.20%E -10.16%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |