Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Arthur Rinderknech
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 73.17%1.37kurs godziwy
EV -2.68%
Przewaga -2.02%
Kelly -8.14%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.27%73.42%73.07%76.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.271.261.3383.33%78.91%79.37%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Rinderknech (Goście)
Prognoza 26.83%3.73kurs godziwy
EV +10.01%
Przewaga +2.44%
Kelly +3.23%
Wzrost +0.323%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.22%26.58%26.93%28.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.693.734.1030.30%27.11%26.85%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +10.01%E +2.44%K +3.23%G +0.323% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:44 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +5.98%E +1.51%K +2.03%G +0.121% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 10:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +3.30%E +0.857%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:43 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:34 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -1.53%E -0.417%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -2.61%E -0.718%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.20%E -10.16%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |