L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Arthur Rinderknech
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 73.17%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -8.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.27%73.42%73.07%76.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.261.3383.33%78.91%79.37%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV +10.01%
Avantage +2.44%
Kelly +3.23%
Croissance +0.323%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.22%26.58%26.93%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.693.734.1030.30%27.11%26.85%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +10.01%E +2.44%K +3.23%G +0.323% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:44 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +5.98%E +1.51%K +2.03%G +0.121% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 10:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +3.30%E +0.857%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:43 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 10:34 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 10:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -1.53%E -0.417%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -2.61%E -0.718%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.20%E -10.16%K -60.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Fliff | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:42 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 10:50 |