Die Wettquotenschule

Joao Fonseca v Arthur Rinderknech

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 73.17%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.68%
Vorteil -2.02%
Kelly -8.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.27%73.42%73.07%76.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.271.261.3383.33%78.91%79.37%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.83%3.73faire Quote
EV +10.01%
Vorteil +2.44%
Kelly +3.23%
Wachstum +0.323%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.22%26.58%26.93%28.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.693.734.1030.30%27.11%26.85%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +10.01%E +2.44%K +3.23%G +0.323%5.0%2026-04-08 10:45
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%3.1%2026-04-08 10:45
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%3.7%2026-04-08 10:55
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%5.6%2026-04-08 10:42
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +7.32%E +1.83%K +2.44%G +0.179%7.0%2026-04-08 10:44
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +5.98%E +1.51%K +2.03%G +0.121%4.7%2026-04-08 10:34
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.64%E +1.19%K +1.60%G +0.074%5.0%2026-04-08 10:55
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +3.30%E +0.857%K +1.16%G +0.038%6.0%2026-04-08 10:45
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027%4.2%2026-04-08 10:42
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +2.76%E +0.721%K +0.976%G +0.027%4.2%2026-04-08 10:43
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%5.7%2026-04-08 10:34
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.96%E +0.515%K +0.699%G +0.014%6.3%2026-04-08 10:55
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-08 10:51
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%6.0%2026-04-08 10:42
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-08 10:50
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%8.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-08 10:50
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.73%E -8.80%K -48.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.615%E +0.164%K +0.223%G +0.001%8.6%2026-04-08 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 10:42
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 10:42
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -10.00%E -8.13%K -43.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -0.727%E -0.196%K -0.269%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 10:55
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -1.53%E -0.417%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.07%E -0.567%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:45
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -2.61%E -0.718%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-08 10:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 10:55
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.81%E -6.20%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.54%E -6.83%K -34.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 10:55
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.20%E -10.16%K -60.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -3.41%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -9.27%E -7.48%K -38.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -4.75%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:42
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 10:55
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.09%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 10:55
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 10:54
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.34%E -4.96%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 10:55
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.68%E -2.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.88%E -3.75%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 10:50
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.07%E -5.57%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-04-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-04-08 10:55
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-04-08 10:55
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-08 10:55
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-04-08 10:55
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%6.7%2026-04-08 10:50