Language:English
Gael Monfils v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gael Monfils (Local)
Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -0.154%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.11%34.15%34.09%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.802.9338.17%36.04%35.71%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 65.92%1.52fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%65.85%65.91%66.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.64%69.69%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gael Monfils (Local): 34.08%; Alexander Bublik (Visit): 65.92%. For Gael Monfils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.935. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.930, with an expected value of -0.154%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -0.154%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.54%E -0.888%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 12:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 13:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 04:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 12:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 13:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 13:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 13:01 |
| Novig◎ | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 1.6% | 2026-04-07 12:53 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 13:01 |