L’École des cotes

Gael Monfils v Alexander Bublik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 13:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Prévision 34.08%2.93cote équitable
EV -0.154%
Avantage -0.053%
Kelly -0.080%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.11%34.15%34.09%35.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.772.802.9338.17%36.04%35.71%34.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Bublik (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.92%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -3.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.53%65.85%65.91%66.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.64%69.69%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -0.154%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:30
DraftKings2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.54%E -0.888%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 12:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:04
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 12:30
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:19
SportsBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:51
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 13:01
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 13:00
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 12:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 04:48
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:19
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 11:30
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 12:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Novig3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%1.6%2026-04-07 12:53
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-04-07 13:01