StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Gael Monfils v Alexander Bublik

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-07 13:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Gael Monfils (Heim)

Prognose 34.08%2.93faire Quote
EV -0.154%
Vorteil -0.053%
Kelly -0.080%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.11%34.15%34.09%35.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.622.772.802.9338.17%36.04%35.71%34.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Bublik (Auswärts)

Prognose 65.92%1.52faire Quote
EV -1.77%
Vorteil -1.19%
Kelly -3.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.53%65.85%65.91%66.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.64%69.69%67.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Gael Monfils (Heim): 34.08%; Alexander Bublik (Auswärts): 65.92%. Für Gael Monfils (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.935. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.930, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.154%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -0.154%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.54%E -0.888%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 12:20
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:04
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 12:30
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:19
SportsBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 13:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 12:20
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 04:48
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 12:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Novig3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%1.6%2026-04-07 12:53
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-04-07 13:01