La scuola delle quote

Gael Monfils v Alexander Bublik

Inizio: 2026-04-07 13:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gael Monfils (Casa)

Previsione 34.08%2.93quota equa
EV -0.154%
Vantaggio -0.053%
Kelly -0.080%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.11%34.15%34.09%35.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.772.802.9338.17%36.04%35.71%34.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Bublik (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.92%1.52quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.53%65.85%65.91%66.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.64%69.69%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -0.154%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:30
DraftKings2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.54%E -0.888%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 12:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:04
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 12:30
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:19
SportsBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:51
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 13:01
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 13:00
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 12:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 04:48
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:19
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 11:30
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 12:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Novig3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%1.6%2026-04-07 12:53
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-04-07 13:01