La escuela de los momios

Gael Monfils v Alexander Bublik

Inicio: 2026-04-07 13:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Predicción 34.08%2.93momio equitativo
EV -0.154%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.080%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.11%34.15%34.09%35.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.802.9338.17%36.04%35.71%34.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Bublik (Visitante)

Predicción 65.92%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.53%65.85%65.91%66.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.64%69.69%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -0.154%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:30
DraftKings2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.54%E -0.888%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 12:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 12:04
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 12:30
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:19
SportsBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.56%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 12:20
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:20
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 12:45
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:20
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 12:51
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -1.77%E -1.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 12:30
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 13:01
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.75%E -2.57%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 13:00
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:55
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 12:20
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 12:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 07:10
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 09:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 04:48
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:19
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 12:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:35
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 11:30
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 12:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%0.2%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-04-07 13:01
Novig3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%1.6%2026-04-07 12:53
ProphetX3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%1.8%2026-04-07 12:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-04-07 13:01