语言:简体中文
Daniil Medvedev v Matteo Berrettini
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniil Medvedev (主队)
预测 68.99%1.45公平赔率
EV -0.661%
优势 -0.459%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
66.27%68.94%68.99%71.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.371.381.4475.76%72.98%72.73%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Matteo Berrettini (客队)
预测 31.01%3.22公平赔率
EV +2.97%
优势 +0.894%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.038%
假设最高赔率为 3.32
博彩公司预测分布
28.60%31.06%31.01%33.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.033.053.3236.36%32.97%32.79%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniil Medvedev (主队)：68.99%；Matteo Berrettini (客队)：31.01%。 对于“Matteo Berrettini (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.22。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.32，对应+2.97%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +2.97%E +0.894%K +1.28%G +0.038% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.06%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.94%E -6.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -0.661%E -0.459%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -7.89%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |