Lingua:Italiano
Daniil Medvedev v Matteo Berrettini
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniil Medvedev (Casa)
Previsione 68.99%1.45quota equa
EV -0.661%
Vantaggio -0.459%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%68.94%68.99%71.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.381.4475.76%72.98%72.73%69.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.01%3.22quota equa
EV +2.97%
Vantaggio +0.894%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.038%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.60%31.06%31.01%33.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.033.053.3236.36%32.97%32.79%30.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Daniil Medvedev (Casa): 68.99%; Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta): 31.01%. Per Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.22. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.32, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.97%.
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +2.97%E +0.894%K +1.28%G +0.038% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.06%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.94%E -6.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -0.661%E -0.459%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -7.89%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |