L’École des cotes

Daniil Medvedev v Matteo Berrettini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 68.99%1.45cote équitable
EV -0.661%
Avantage -0.459%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.27%68.94%68.99%71.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.381.4475.76%72.98%72.73%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.01%3.22cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.894%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%31.06%31.01%33.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.053.3236.36%32.97%32.79%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +2.97%E +0.894%K +1.28%G +0.038%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-08 09:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-08 09:00
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 09:05
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 08:59
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.06%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 08:59
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:10
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:04
ReBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 08:58
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.94%E -6.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 09:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:09
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:09
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 09:08
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:06
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:08
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -0.661%E -0.459%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -7.89%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 09:10
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 09:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 08:59
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 08:58
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 08:59
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-04-08 09:10
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-04-08 09:10