La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 68.99%1.45momio equitativo
EV -0.661%
Ventaja -0.459%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%68.94%68.99%71.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.381.4475.76%72.98%72.73%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 31.01%3.22momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.894%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%31.06%31.01%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.053.3236.36%32.97%32.79%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +2.97%E +0.894%K +1.28%G +0.038% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.06%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| ReBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.94%E -6.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -0.661%E -0.459%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -7.89%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |