StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniil Medvedev v Matteo Berrettini

Matchstart: 2026-04-08 09:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniil Medvedev (Hemma)

Prognos 68.99%1.45rättvist odds
EV -0.661%
Fördel -0.459%
Kelly -1.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.27%68.94%68.99%71.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.381.4475.76%72.98%72.73%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Matteo Berrettini (Borta)

Prognos 31.01%3.22rättvist odds
EV +2.97%
Fördel +0.894%
Kelly +1.28%
Tillväxt +0.038%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.60%31.06%31.01%33.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.033.053.3236.36%32.97%32.79%30.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Daniil Medvedev (Hemma): 68.99%; Matteo Berrettini (Borta): 31.01%. För Matteo Berrettini (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.22. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.32, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.97%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +2.97%E +0.894%K +1.28%G +0.038%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-08 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.798%E +0.246%K +0.355%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-08 09:00
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 09:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.752%E -0.235%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 08:59
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.06%E -0.333%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 08:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.61%E -0.832%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 09:10
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:04
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 08:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.94%E -6.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 09:00
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:09
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.49%E -4.01%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.40%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 09:08
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.11%E -2.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:06
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%EV -7.58%E -2.54%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 09:08
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -0.661%E -0.459%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -7.89%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.25%E -6.20%K -25.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.51%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 09:10
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 08:59
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.80%E -3.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 09:10
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 08:58
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.18%E -4.54%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 08:59
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.87%E -5.09%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.42%E -2.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.71%E -5.35%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-04-08 09:10
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-04-08 09:10