The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Baez

Matchstart: 2026-04-07 11:50 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 93.44%1.07rättvist odds
EV -2.83%
Fördel -2.72%
Kelly -70.65%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.30%93.20%93.63%95.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.52%98.04%96.15%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Borta)

Prognos 6.56%15.24rättvist odds
EV +31.27%
Fördel +1.56%
Kelly +1.65%
Tillväxt +0.515%

med antagandet om högsta odds 20.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.85%6.80%6.37%9.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
9.5013.3713.0020.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515%3.0%2026-04-07 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515%3.0%2026-04-07 11:39
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +24.71%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.339%3.3%2026-04-07 11:40
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 94.64%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%18.20I 5.49%NM 5.36%EV +19.45%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.220%2.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.14%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.194%3.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084%3.0%2026-04-07 09:20
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084%3.0%2026-04-06 19:44
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084%3.9%2026-04-07 11:40
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.10%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%16.59I 6.03%NM 5.90%EV +8.89%E +0.536%K +0.570%G +0.051%2.2%2026-04-07 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017%4.3%2026-04-07 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017%4.3%2026-04-07 11:34
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 11:35
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:40
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -2.86%E -0.193%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 11:35
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.55%EV -6.56%E -6.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -4.83%E -0.333%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 10:10
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:05
ReBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:10
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.05%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.66I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV -10.34%E -0.757%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 11:35
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.94%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.06%EV -12.71%E -0.955%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 11:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 06:20
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:30
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:35
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:35
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 10:10
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 17:34
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:40
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:40
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 05:20
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 05:20
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 16:25
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:39
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:34
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 10:20
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:30
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 05:10
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:35
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:35
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:35
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 11:35
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 07:00
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -37.65%E -3.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 11:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71%0.1%2026-04-07 11:40
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-04-07 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-04-07 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58%4.9%2026-04-07 11:35