Idioma:Português
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Baez
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Previsão 93.44%1.07odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -70.65%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.30%93.20%93.63%95.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.52%98.04%96.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Previsão 6.56%15.24odd justa
EV +31.27%
Vantagem +1.56%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescimento +0.515%
pressupondo odds máximas de 20.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.85%6.80%6.37%9.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.5013.3713.0020.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 93.44%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 6.56%. Para Sebastian Baez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 15.24. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 20.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +31.27%.
Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +24.71%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.339% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.64%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 18.20I 5.49%NM 5.36%EV +19.45%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.220% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.14%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.194% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.10%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 16.59I 6.03%NM 5.90%EV +8.89%E +0.536%K +0.570%G +0.051% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -2.86%E -0.193%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.55%EV -6.56%E -6.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -4.83%E -0.333%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.05%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.66I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV -10.34%E -0.757%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.94%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.06%EV -12.71%E -0.955%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 05:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -37.65%E -3.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 11:29 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |