Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Baez

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-07 11:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 93.44%1.07faire Quote
EV -2.83%
Vorteil -2.72%
Kelly -70.65%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
90.30%93.20%93.63%95.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.52%98.04%96.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.56%15.24faire Quote
EV +31.27%
Vorteil +1.56%
Kelly +1.65%
Wachstum +0.515%

bei einer Höchstquote von 20.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.85%6.80%6.37%9.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
9.5013.3713.0020.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515%3.0%2026-04-07 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515%3.0%2026-04-07 11:39
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +24.71%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.339%3.3%2026-04-07 11:40
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 94.64%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%18.20I 5.49%NM 5.36%EV +19.45%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.220%2.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.14%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.194%3.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084%3.0%2026-04-07 09:20
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084%3.0%2026-04-06 19:44
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084%3.9%2026-04-07 11:40
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.10%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%16.59I 6.03%NM 5.90%EV +8.89%E +0.536%K +0.570%G +0.051%2.2%2026-04-07 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017%4.3%2026-04-07 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017%4.3%2026-04-07 11:34
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 11:35
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:40
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -2.86%E -0.193%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 11:35
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.55%EV -6.56%E -6.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -4.83%E -0.333%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 10:10
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:05
ReBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 10:10
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.05%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.66I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV -10.34%E -0.757%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 11:35
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.94%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.06%EV -12.71%E -0.955%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 11:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 06:20
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:30
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:35
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 11:35
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 10:10
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 17:34
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:40
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:40
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 05:20
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 05:20
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 16:25
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Casumo1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 11:39
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:34
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 10:20
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:30
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 05:10
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:35
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:35
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 11:35
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 11:35
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 11:35
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 07:00
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -37.65%E -3.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 11:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71%0.1%2026-04-07 11:40
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66%0.1%2026-04-07 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-04-07 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-04-07 11:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38%0.6%2026-04-07 11:40
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58%4.9%2026-04-07 11:35