Sprache:Deutsch
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Baez
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)
Prognose 93.44%1.07faire Quote
EV -2.83%
Vorteil -2.72%
Kelly -70.65%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.04
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
90.30%93.20%93.63%95.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.52%98.04%96.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)
Prognose 6.56%15.24faire Quote
EV +31.27%
Vorteil +1.56%
Kelly +1.65%
Wachstum +0.515%
bei einer Höchstquote von 20.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.85%6.80%6.37%9.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
9.5013.3713.0020.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Carlos Alcaraz (Heim): 93.44%; Sebastian Baez (Auswärts): 6.56%. Für Sebastian Baez (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 15.24. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 20.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +31.27%.
Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +31.27%E +1.56%K +1.65%G +0.515% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +24.71%E +1.30%K +1.37%G +0.339% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.64%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 18.20I 5.49%NM 5.36%EV +19.45%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.220% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.14%E +1.01%K +1.07%G +0.194% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.58%E +0.681%K +0.724%G +0.084% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.10%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 16.59I 6.03%NM 5.90%EV +8.89%E +0.536%K +0.570%G +0.051% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +5.02%E +0.313%K +0.334%G +0.017% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.55%E -0.103%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -2.86%E -0.193%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.55%EV -6.56%E -6.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV -4.83%E -0.333%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.11%E -0.579%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.05%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.66I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV -10.34%E -0.757%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.94%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.06%EV -12.71%E -0.955%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.68%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -17.56%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -17.96%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.63%E -5.57%K -562.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -21.24%E -1.77%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.83%E -2.72%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 05:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.76%E -3.65%K -125.34%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.80%E -2.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -31.08%E -2.96%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -34.37%E -3.44%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 07:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -4.69%E -4.60%K -234.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -37.65%E -3.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 11:29 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.29% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.71% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.34% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.66% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.62% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:35 |